JEFF'S #1 COLLEGE HOOPS ODDSMAKER ERROR

My math model actually favors SE Missouri State in this game and Evansville is a woeful 2-10 ATS in its last twelve games as a road favorite and 2-7 ATS in its last nine road affairs overall. Second-year head coach Brad Korn has instilled both physicality and toughness with his players; the Redhawks ranked 26th in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage last season and finished with a top-five defense in the Ohio Valley Conference (OVC). Missouri State should continue to move up in the OVC standings as the team's top five scorers and all eight players who started at least one game in 2020-21 are back. Evansville arrives in town with a subpar offense that is averaging just 60.7 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 65.9 points per game to a mediocre offense. The Purple Aces are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road this season where they are averaging 61.5 points per game on 37.3% shooting from the field. Opponents are shooting 47.6% from the floor and 38.1% from beyond the arc when hosting Evansville so Missouri State's improved offense (2.6 points per game better than average) should have continued success tonight. Grab the points with the live home underdog and invest with confidence.