JEFF'S NCAA BASKETBALL UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

My math model only favors Hofstra by 0.52 points and the Pride have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games following a win. San Jose State was 8-23 last season, but the Spartans covered the Vegas number 56.7% of the time, including going 8-3 ATS (72.7%) in non-conference play. Second-year head coach Tim Miles led San Jose State to a 7-4 ATS (63.6%) record in its final eleven games last year and the Spartans remain undervalued in the betting market in 2022-23. Miles welcomes back three starters and 71% of last year’s minutes and the Spartans take the floor tonight with a perfect 3-0 record. San Jose State’s success begins with the return of Omari Moore, who considered entering the NBA Draft after averaging 13.2 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game last season. The talented wing ranked inside the top 20 in the Mountain West Conference in usage, offensive rebounding, assist rate, free-throw shooting and 3-point shooting. Sophomore guard Alvaro Cardenas is off to a strong start to the 2022-23 campaign, averaging 11.7 points per game on 51.9% shooting from the field and 41.7% from beyond the arc. Finally, Hofstra could easily look past the Spartans with a much bigger game on deck against St. Mary’s. Grab the points with the live home underdog and invest with confidence.