JEFF'S COLLEGE BASKETBALL INNER CIRCLE PLAY

UC Riverside Highlanders (4-2) vs Abilene Christian Wildcats (2-3)

Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 6:30 pm

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My math model only favors Abilene Christian by 1.3 points in this game and the Wildcats fall into a negative 35-70 ATS statistical profile indicator that invests against favorites that are averaging 17.5 or more turnovers per game versus opponents that are averaging 14.5 or fewer turnovers per game. This situation has failed to cover the spread by an average of -3.0 points per game since 1997 and is 2-8 ATS since 2016 and 1-5 ATS over the last three seasons. Riverside is led by senior guard Zyon Pullin, a second-team all-league selection who tested the NBA Draft process before returning for his senior campaign. Pullin is joined in the backcourt by graduate senior Flynn Cameron, who is averaging 11.3 points per game, and George Mason graduate transfer Jamal Hartwell II, who has already made an impact for the Highlanders. Riverside has better depth than last year’s team and I would not be surprised to see the Highlanders in the upper half of the Big West Conference standings in 2022-23. Grab the points with the Highlanders and invest with confidence.

Jeff’s Pick UC Riverside Highlanders: +3 -110

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