JEFF'S 90% (17-2) A.L. DIV GAME OF THE WEEK

Premium Pick Win

Boston Red Sox (39-27) vs Toronto Blue Jays (33-30)

Monday, June 14, 2021 at 7:10 pm

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The Blue Jays are 2-17 since May 4, 2019 in game 2 (or beyond) of a series as road underdogs following a game in which their opponent had six or more hits. Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is a prime candidate for regression due to the fact that his 4.11 ERA is undermined by a 2.63 FIP. The 31-year-old has been hampered by an unsustainable .340 BABIP despite avoiding hard contact (25.2% Hard%). In contrast, Toronto starter Alek Manoah is due for negative variance as his 3.14 ERA is undermined by a 5.32 FIP. The 23-year-old has benefitted from an incredibly lucky (and unsustainable) .206 BABIP and an 87% LOB%. Manoah lacks control (4.40 BB/9) and has been susceptible to the long ball (1.88 HR/9). Take the Red Sox and invest with confidence.

Jeff’s Pick Boston Red Sox: -115

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