Minnesota Twins (43-36) vs Baltimore Orioles (35-42)
Friday, July 01, 2022 at 8:10 pm
Since July 5, 2004, the Twins are 30-1 (+52.5% ROI) straight-up and 14-6 (+51.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -140 or greater in pre-All-Star game affairs following a game as underdogs in which their bullpen allowed more than one run. This situation is a perfect 28-0 straight-up since June 26, 2005. Minnesota falls into one of my best MLB systems which is 386-120 (+10.0% ROI) straight-up and 295-208 (+9.8% ROI) against the run line since 2017. Finally, Baltimore applies to a very negative 37-78 run line system that invests against certain road underdogs with an overused bullpen that averages more than 3.2 innings per game. This situation is 45-17 (+26.5 units) over the last three seasons when fading these underdogs. Take Minnesota and invest with confidence.