Cleveland Guardians (39-34) vs New York Yankees (56-21)
Friday, July 01, 2022 at 7:10 pm
Since April 19, 2022, the Yankees are 20-2 (+37.3% ROI) straight-up and 15-7 (+35.0% ROI) against the run line in the opening game of a series, including 10-1 straight-up and 8-3 against the run line since May 24, 2022. Since September 13, 2021, the Yankees are 15-1 (+42.6% ROI) straight-up and 10-6 (+19.3% ROI) against the run line in series openers against non-divisional opponents. The run line is 9-4 in its last thirteen circumstances. Since March 26, 2021, the Yankees are 11-1 (+60.5% ROI) straight-up and 10-1 (+64.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they scored fewer than two runs, had fewer than eight hits, drew fewer than four walks and the bullpen allowed less than five runs. Since 2014, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole is 45-7 (+19.1% ROI) straight-up and 31-21 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -200 or more following an outing in which he pitched six or more innings versus a starting pitcher with an ERA of 9.00 or better on the season. This situation is 30-15 on the run line since April 28, 2018, producing a net profit of +12.8%. Since April 20, 2019, New York is 73-17 (+13.8% ROI) straight-up and 59-31 (+12.7% ROI) against the run line as large favorites versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.01 or worse. Finally, non-divisional road favorites are 73-29 (+22.6% ROI) straight-up and 64-38 (+29.0% ROI) against the run line this season in games with a total of eight runs or less. Take New York and invest with confidence.