Washington Nationals (53-101) vs Atlanta Braves (97-58)

Wednesday, September 28, 2022 at 7:05 pm

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Since 2014, September (and beyond) underdogs are 168-291 (-1.1% ROI) straight-up and 225-233 (-4.3% ROI) against the run line in regular season affairs versus opponents that have at least 33 more wins than losses. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 419-162 (+4.0% ROI) straight-up and 348-232 (3% ROI) against the run line. Since June 17, 2018, the Braves are 49-15 (+15.8% ROI) straight-up and 37-26 (+28.2% ROI) against the run as favorites versus an opposing starting pitcher who beat them in his prior matchup. Since September 12, 2020, the Nationals are 16-42 (-28.5% ROI) straight-up and 25-33 (-16.2% ROI) against the run line as home underdogs off a loss as underdogs. Atlanta starter Jake Odorizzi is 12-2 (+23.3% ROI) straight-up and 9-5 (+18.6% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -181 or greater in games with a total of nine or fewer runs. Take the Braves and invest with confidence.

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Jeff’s Pick Atlanta Braves: -1.5 -119

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