Atlanta Hawks (46-34) vs Philadelphia 76ers (55-25)
Monday, June 14, 2021 at 7:30 pm
The OVER applies to a very good 168-114 NBA totals system of mine that is 96-65 (59.6%) since 2020 and 19-4 (82.6%) since May 16, 2021. The Hawks are 20-4-2 OVER in their last 26 games as home underdogs, including 15-3-1 OVER since January 20, 2020. Atlanta is also 27-11 OVER in its last 38 games following a double-digit loss (5-0 L/5 off DD home defeat) and falls into a very strong 37-7 totals angle of mine that favors the OVER and dates back to May 2, 2021. In the conference semifinals, Philadelphia has scored 123 points per 100 possessions, which rates as the third-best offense out of the eight teams that remain in the playoffs. The Hawks attempted a postseason-low 23 three-pointers in Game 3 (made just six of them) and I expect head coach Nate McMillan to emphasize the importance of more three-point attempts tonight. Finally, the OVER falls into a terrific 46-17 NBA totals situation of mine that invests on the OVER in games involving one team that enters off back-to-back wins by 15 or more points. With Philadelphia standing at 6-0 in its last six games following a double-digit win, take the OVER and invest with confidence.