JEFF'S NBA TOTAL VEGAS INSIDER (+$8,450)

Premium Pick Loss

Miami Heat (5-7) vs Charlotte Hornets (3-10)

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 8:00 pm

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The under falls into my two strongest NBA totals systems which are 827-584 (58.2%) and 447-287 (60.9%) since 2017 and invests on the under in certain games with a total of 215.5 points or less. The under applies to a profitable 118-67 system that invests on the under in games with a total of 210 to 219.5 points involving a tired team (i.e., playing 8+ games in 14 days) with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation has finished under the total by an average of 4.4 points per game since 1996. Finally, both teams play at a below-average pace (Miami 23rd in pace; Charlotte 16th) and struggle to score (Miami 24th in points per game; Charlotte 27th). Take the under and invest with confidence. Injury Update: Charlotte point guard LaMelo Ball (ankle) shooting forward Gordon Hayward (shoulder) are both out, while point guard Dennis Smith Jr. is questionable with an ankle injury. Miami point guard Tyler Herro (ankle) is questionable.

Jeff’s Pick Under: 212.5 -112

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