JEFF'S #1 NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK (78.6% RUN)

Portland Trail Blazers (11-9) vs Los Angeles Clippers (12-9)

Tuesday, November 29, 2022 at 10:00 pm

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The under falls into four of my strongest NBA totals systems that are 853-617 (58.0%), 455-293 (60.8%), 272-170 (61.5%) and 111-59 (63.3%) to the under since 2016. All three situations have covered the total by at least 3.0 points per game over the last five seasons. Since 2000, road teams in weekday affairs with a total of 210 or more points are 78-52-9 (60.0%) UNDER following an upset win by ten or more points as home underdogs. The under improves to 60-36-4 (62.5%) in games played Monday through Thursday, covering the total by an average margin of 3.52 points per game. Better yet, if the above-referenced games are played during the first three games of the week (i.e., Monday-Wednesday), the under is 53-25-3 (67.9%) since 1995, covering by an average of 4.7 points per game. Finally, Los Angeles is 18-6 to the under in its last 24 games off a win and 15-5-1 to the under in its last 21 games with one day of rest, while the Trail Blazers are 16-5-1 to the under in their last 22 home games following an extended road trip and 18-7-2 to the under in their previous 27 home games. With the under standing at 6-2 in the past eight meetings in Portland, take the under and invest with confidence.

Jeff’s Pick Under: 214.5 -110

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