Sean's CFB AFTERNOON UNDERDOG SHOCKER >> 24-13 RUN!

My selection is on Middle Tennessee State plus the points over Miami at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

I think this is a sneaky-tough spot for Miami as it returns home licking its wounds following a 17-9 loss against Texas A&M to host Middle Tennessee State. The Blue Raiders season got start on the wrong foot as they were routed 44-7 on the road against first-year FBS upstart James Madison. MTSU's offense couldn't stay on the field, going three-and-out on its first five drives and its young defense quickly wore down as a result, with the floodgates opening early. We've seen both units settle down over the last two games as the Blue Raiders delivered consecutive lopsided wins over Colorado State and FCS squad Tennessee State. I like some of the pieces MTSU has in place offensively with QB Chase Cunningham back healthy, not to mention a solid wide receiving corps and what appears to be a capable running back in Frank Peasant. Defensively, there are holes to fill but the Blue Raiders can ratchet up the pressure up front and I'm not convinced that Miami can take advantage of its weaknesses in the secondary. MTSU had a miserable time containing James Madison dual-threat QB Todd Centeio but it will deal with a true pocket-passer in Tyler Van Dyke this week. Albeit in a tough matchup against an angry Texas A&M defense, Van Dyke didn't look the same without his early season go-to guy WR Xavier Restrepo last week. Restrepo is sidelined indefinitely with a foot injury. Off the emotional primetime loss to A&M and with ACC play getting rolling with a date against currently undefeated North Carolina next week, I see this as a 'win and move on' type of spot for the Hurricanes as they look to effectively shorten the game and avoid any more key injuries. Take Middle Tennessee State (8*).