Chicago Cubs (67-87) vs St. Louis Cardinals (85-69)
Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 2:20 pm
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Chicago at 2:20 pm et on Saturday.
We saw a pair of wild, high-scoring games in yesterday's seven-inning double-header but I expect a different story to unfold on Wrigley Field on Saturday. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 14-0 when the Cardinals come off a game in which they scored 12 or more runs over the last three seasons with those games producing an average total of just 5.4 runs. St. Louis averages just 2.6 runs per game when coming off a win by eight runs over more over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of just 7.1 runs. As for the Cubs, they average only 3.8 runs per game when playing at home with double-revenge this season, as is the case here. Jon Lester has arguably been the Cards most consistent starter lately, checking in with a 2.84 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over his last three starts. For his part, Cubs starter Adrian Sampson has posted a respectable 3.21 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over his last three outings. The Cards bullpen continues to pitch well, recording a collective 1.12 WHIP over their last seven games. While the Cubs 'pen has struggled for the most part this season, it has managed to post a 4.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP with 19 saves converted and only six blown at home. Take the under (7*).