Sean's 60-29 10* NBA TOTAL DOMINATOR!

Phoenix Suns (35-24) vs Houston Rockets (25-34)

Saturday, March 02, 2024 at 9:00 pm

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My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Phoenix at 9:10 pm et on Saturday.

NOTE: This total has risen considerably since I posted the play last night. I would still recommend a play on the 'over' at the current number and up to as high as 234.5 but at a lower confidence level than originally indicated.

I expect the Rockets slumping offense to bust out in a big way in Saturday's rematch against the Suns in Phoenix (the Suns prevailed 110-105 on Thursday). Phoenix is playing with fire (no pun intended) defensively right now as it has allowed an incredible 12 straight and 14 of its last 15 opponents to hoist up at least 90 field goal attempts. It was fortunate that the Rockets shooting woes continued on Thursday as Houston actually got off a whopping 99 field goal attempts. The Rockets certainly haven't been trigger-shy lately, getting off 93, 93, 95 and 99 field goal attempts over their last four contests. I do think it's only a matter of time before Houston's offense takes off again, noting that it recently connected on 50 or more field goals in six of 10 games from January 20th to February 6th. On the flip side, the Suns are just shy of double-digit favorites again on Saturday. They didn't need to be great offensively to prevail in the front half of this two-game set and certainly weren't, making good on just 36-of-89 field goal attempts. They've generally bounced back from subpar shooting nights, connecting on 46, 40 and 44 field goals in their last three games following a sub-40 made field goal performance. Note that the 'over' is 12-7 in the Rockets last 19 contests after scoring 105 points or less in consecutive games, as is the case here, including an 'over' result the only prevous time that situation came up this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 43-34 in the Suns last 77 games after allowing 105 points or less in their previous contest including a 6-2 record in that situation this season. We've now seen two straight meetings in this series stay 'under' the total. You would have to go back to 2018 to find the last time we saw a three-game 'under' streak between these two teams. Take the over (10*).

Sean’s Pick Over: 229 -110

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