Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1) vs Kansas City Chiefs (2-0)
Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 1:00 pm
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Indianapolis at 1 pm et on Sunday.
The 'under' has gone a combined 3-1 in these two teams' first four games this season but I look for a different story to unfold as they match up in Indianapolis on Sunday. The Chiefs offense has looked every bit as explosive as it was prior to Tyreek Hill's departure, hanging 71 points combined on the Cardinals and Chargers. This looks like another promising spot for the Kansas City offense as the Colts defense has been immensely disappointing through two weeks, managing only three sacks and sorely missing Shaq Leonard (all indications are that he'll play this week but whether he's 100% healthy or on a snap count remains to be seen). On the flip side, I'm still higher on the Colts offense than most. QB Matt Ryan has looked every bit like the aging quarterback that he is but I do think we see him bounce back here in the team's home-opener. Ryan should have his favorite target, Michael Pittman Jr. back on the field after he practiced all week. Ashton Dulin has looked promising while rookie Alec Pierce should also return from injury to bolster the receiving corps. It's worth noting that Ryan last faced the Chiefs in December of 2020, completing 27-of-35 passes for 300 yards and two touchdowns. That was for a 4-11 Falcons team against a 14-1 Chiefs squad. Of course, this Colts offense revolves around RB Jonathan Taylor for the most part and after he was essentially game-scripted out of the contest last week against Jacksonville (we won with the Jaguars in that game), I'm confident we'll see him get back to his productive ways here. Take the over.