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Premium Pick Win

New England Patriots (2-3) vs Dallas Cowboys (4-1)

Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 4:25 pm

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Dallas vs New England4:25 PM EST, October 17, 20214-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER

Betting the OVER with any team that is coming off a win, but failed to cover the spread and now facing an opponent coming off a home SU win has earned a highly profitable 45-11-1 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the team in question, which is New England, is the home team, then the OVER gets even better with a 30-7 record for 82% winning bets.

Dallas head coach McCarthy is 25-9 OVER in a road game and facing an excellent passing team that completes an average of 64% of their attempts.

With a total of 50 points and Dallas favored by three points implies a 26.5 to 23.5. My predictive models confirm a very high probability that both teams will score at least 21 or more points. Dallas is a perfect 12-0 OVER in games in which they and the opponent each scored 21 or more points in games played over the last three seasons.

 

John’s Pick Over: 50.5 -105

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