CFB- Utah vs USC

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USC Trojans (11-1) vs Utah Utes (9-3)

Friday, December 02, 2022 at 8:00 pm

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Since these teams have met earlier this season, the Utes D has become more physical and has come together and currently showing alot of chemistry. Im betting the Utes physicality and grit will be the difference maker in the rematch.Entering the Pac-12 Championship game, Utah leads the Pac-12 in third down and fourth down defense, first downs defense, passing defense, rushing defense, scoring defense, total defense and time of possession.  

It must be noted that on the season the Utes have the PPG differential advantage , winning by +19.3 as  compared to USC’s +16.2 ppg diff average. •    The Utes are averaging 39.4 points per game, ranking 10th nationally.

Utah is the only team in the Pac-12 that ranks in the top-20 nationally in both scoring offense and defense, ranking 10th and 19th.    In the last three games, Utah has been averaging 67.3 yards per scoring drive while averaging 51.4 in the previous nine games.  Utah is averaging 26.4 first downs per game while holding opponents to 15.5, ranking fourth in first down offense and 11th in first downs defense in the FBS.  

Note:Extending plays is Utah's specialty this season, ranking eighth in the FBS in third down conversions (.503)Utah ranks fifth in both sacks allowed and tackles for loss allowed per game in the country.

UTAH is 22-10 ATS L/32  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  75% or better. )  UTAH is 22-7 ATS  after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

USC is 7-18 ATS in December games since 1992.

CFB  team (USC) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more  YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 11-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB  team (UTAH) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more  YPR) against a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game are 34-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

Alex’s Pick Utah Utes: +3 -105

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