CFB- Louisville vs USC

USC Trojans (7-5) vs Louisville Cardinals (10-3)

Wednesday, December 27, 2023 at 8:00 pm

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USC will be shorthanded offensively because of the portal transfer ,  but will still have  four-star QB under center along with a large group of tainted offensive players who I expect to take this opportunity to showcase their talents. Defensively Im also betting the Trojans stop units will once again struggle vs a Louisville side that can score in bunches. (Note: Trojans rank :Trojans defense ranks just 122nd in EPA per play and 118th in explosiveness) Yes on the flip side the Cardinal D has shown some staunch efforts overall but have also been torched,Georgia Tech (34 points, 488 yards ), Virginia (24 points, 434 yards ), Miami (31 points, 486 yards ), and Kentucky (38 points)

I project at least 28 points for the Trojans -Note: USC is 7-0 OVER   when both teams score 28 or more points this season with a combined average of 83.7 ppg scored.

LOUISVILLE is 9-1 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 70.2 ppg scored. 

USC is 15-4 OVER in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 73.1 ppg scored.USC is 15-3 OVER  after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 75.9 ppg scored. 

Play over

USC is 12-3 OVER  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 73.5 ppg scored.

Alex’s Pick Over: 58 -115

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