CFB- Thursday

After a  surprising 2-0 start under second-year ASU head coach Kenny Dillingham the Sun Devils take  on a Texas State side that is highly under rated and expected to win their conference .  Last week against Mississippi State they took 30-23 victory but did not look good in the 2nd half getting outscored 20-3 and Im betting they continue to regress into this tilt.   It must also be stated that ASU QB  Sam Leavitt struggled in a big way against Mississippi State. He completed 10-of-20 pass attempts for just 65 yards and Im expecting the Sun Devils will have to lean on their run game again, whihc maybe not ideal on a short turnaround, as exhaustion may rear its ugly head. 

Home team like Texas State vs. the money line - excellent offense from last season - averaged 6.1 or more yards/play, returning 8+ off. starters and QB against opponent returning 5 or less def. starters- first month are 30-4 since 1992 for go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team like Texas State vs. the money line - good offensive team from last season - scored 31 or more points/game, returning 8+ off. starters and QB against opponent returning 5 or less def. starters- first month are 23-3 since 2015 for a 89% conversion rate.