CBB- Total - Gonzaga vs Xavier

Premium Pick Loss

Gonzaga Bulldogs (4-2) vs Xavier Musketeers (4-2)

Sunday, November 27, 2022 at 7:30 pm

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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Veterans Memorial Coliseum - Portland, OR

My projections estimate a combined score of no more than 155 points which adds significant value to us taking an under stance here. This estimate is above long term trend factors and gives us cushion room, but is viable with a 2 or more possession edge factor.

XAVIER is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored.

GONZAGA L/19 games against Big East conference opponents since 1997 have seen a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (Xavier/GONZAGA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Alex’s Pick Under: 159.5 -110

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