CBB- Total

Premium Pick Loss

St. Mary's Gaels (6-1) vs New Mexico Lobos (6-0)

Wednesday, November 30, 2022 at 10:00 pm

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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NEW MEXICO is 6-0 OVER  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.5 ppg.  NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 199 with a combined average of 145.3 ppg. scored.

NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 1997 with a combined average of 140.1 ppg.  

CBB Road teams against the total (NEW MEXICO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. 

Play over

Alex’s Pick Over: 136.5 -110

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