Maryland Terrapins (7-0) vs Illinois Fighting Illini (6-1)
Friday, December 02, 2022 at 9:00 pm
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
This is Illinois first true road game, and despite of playing lights out ball so far this season, are at a disadvantage as visitors tonight as the Terps are just as big and physical as the road side and just as defensively disciplined. It must be noted that Illinois has impressed with their downtown shooting, but Maryland ranks 25th defensively vs the trey and must be respected with the home crowd behind them.
ILLINOIS is 4-14 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season.
MARYLAND is 28-14 ATS L/42 in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.
ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Underwood is 8-19 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better as the coach of ILLINOIS.
CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 41-13 ATS ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Maryland to cover