CBB- UConn vs Bama

Premium Pick Win

Connecticut Huskies (35-3) vs Alabama Crimson Tide (25-11)

Saturday, April 06, 2024 at 8:49 pm

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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

 

Alabama has allowed scores of 82, 87, and 96 in three of the four NCAA games, and the books expect the Huskies to put up close to 85 plus projected points. Considering the Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to their below season ppg averages , a blowout is expected . Is this DD offering to much, I say no based on the above stated facts. Crimson Tide lack D, while the Huskies can be merciless on offense when allowed to be, and and no team in the nation can exploit the UConn D, making this a easy lay for me. CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS in all neutral court lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.4 . CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.

Play on Uconn to cover

Alex’s Pick Connecticut Huskies: -11.5 -110

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