Purdue Boilermakers (33-4) vs NC State Wolfpack (26-14)
Saturday, April 06, 2024 at 6:09 pm
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
PURDUE is 8-0 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored.
NC STATE is 6-0 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 138.9 ppg scored.
CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136 ppg going on the scoreboard.
CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NC STATE) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 104-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored.
Play under
Alex’s Pick Under: 146 .5-110
AUTHOR: Alex Smart
