Alex Smart Sports- MLB Home Run Club Total

Premium Pick Loss

Cincinnati Reds (77-73) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (56-93)

Monday, September 20, 2021 at 6:40 pm

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Pirates starter Peters (1-2, 2.66 ERA) was in top form against the Reds on Tuesday, throwing five shutout innings for his first MLB win since Sept. 24, 2019, when he played for the Los Angeles Angels. Im betting he and the Reds Guiterrez matchup well against both batting orders and that their bullpens should do enough to keep the combined score here on the low side of the total. 

PITTSBURGH is 15-5 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. Under is 6-1-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 10-4-3 in Pirates last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 games as a favorite. Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 overall.Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 on grass.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 46-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

Alex’s Pick Under: 9.5 -114

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