Alex Smart Sports- MLB Home Run Club ML Winner

Premium Pick Loss

Washington Nationals (29-50) vs Miami Marlins (35-40)

Saturday, July 02, 2022 at 4:05 pm

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Marlins starter Castano has logged 6 2/3 innings while going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA vs the Nationals in his previous starts against them, and a rinse and repeat type situation is my bet here today. Meanwhile, Right-hander Jackson Tetreault (2-1, 4.24 ERA) goes to the hill for  the Nationals for his fourth career game, all starts. He won each of his last two outings, throwing a combined 13 innings while allowing four runs (one earned) and deserves respect here in the underdog role. 

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a terrible team (38%) or less, in July games are 18-45 L25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on Washington Nationals to win 

Alex’s Pick Washington Nationals: -105

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