MLB Totals Smash -Yanks vs Padres

New York Yankees (30-23) vs San Diego Padres (24-27)

Saturday, May 27, 2023 at 1:05 pm

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Right-hander Michael Wacha (5-1, 3.58 ERA) will start Saturday for the Padres. He has allowed one run over his past four starts and is 3-0 with a 0.36 ERA in those appearances and Im betting on another strong effort today in NY.  Meanwhile, the Yanks will respond with Right-hander Luis Severino (0-0, 1.93) who will make his second start since returning from a right lat strain that cost him nearly two months to begin the season. Severino fell one out shy of qualifying for the win in Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon when he allowed one run on four hits and struck out five in 4 2/3 innings. Severino is 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA in 16 career inter-league appearances (14 starts). Im expecting Severino   to be stronger here of the extended lay off. . With that said, im betting on a pitchers duel and bullpen relief that help keep this score on the low side of the total. 

Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. American League East.Under is 10-1 in Padres last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 8-1-1 in Padres last 10 during game 2 of a series.Under is 14-2-1 in Padres last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

SAN DIEGO is 15-2 UNDER\ when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with  combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. 

NY YANKEES are 10-2 UNDER  in home games after a loss this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.

Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League West.

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Alex’s Pick Under: 8.5 -109

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