MLB-Late Steam

Cleveland Guardians (22-12) vs Detroit Tigers (18-16)

Tuesday, May 07, 2024 at 6:10 pm

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Detroit's starter MAEDA is 11-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5  in his career. (Team's Record)   Maeda (1-1, 5.02 ERA) went 0-1 with a 7.64 ERA in his first four starts. My projections estimate the Guardians match up well vs Maeda and have the edge here. 

CLEVELAND is 10-3  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season . 

Motown baseball has lost 4 straight while Cleveland has won 3 straight. Im riding that momentum in this spot play.

MLB team (CLEVELAND) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

MLBl underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, with a well rested bullpen - threw 3 innings or less over last 2 games are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Alex’s Pick Cleveland Guardians: -120

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