MLB- Total

Chicago Cubs (34-38) vs San Francisco Giants (35-37)

Tuesday, June 18, 2024 at 8:05 pm

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SF starter is WEBB is 15-4 UNDER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg. WEBB is 30-18 UNDER  in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. Webb owns a 3.02 ERA on the season.

Meanwhile Cubs starter Steele has pitched well of late and  lowered his ERA from 5.68 to 3.22 over his past four starts. He threw six shutout innings in his most recent tip to the hill  on Thursday against the host Tampa Bay Rays. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Giants bats. 

Im projecting a total score in the range of 8 to 9 runs giving us at least a full run value to the under. 

COUNSELL is 18-7 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning percentage of between 46-49% on the season are 31-6 UNDER  L/5 seasons  for a 84% conversion rate.

Alex’s Pick Under: 10-108

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