NBA-Total

Premium Pick Loss

Atlanta Hawks (30-26) vs Indiana Pacers (26-29)

Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 3:00 pm

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Atlanta runs a fairly methodical offense despite of their reputation,  ranking 24th in the NBA and only rank 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but have still seen the  Under  get notched in their  last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Which tells me they play differently against these type of teams, and or are forced into slowing down vs sides that know taking the Pacers flow away will be advantageous. Im betting this stronger than expected Hawks side will find a way to slow this game down to a pace that is manageable. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are estimating.  NDIANA is 22-10 UNDER  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored.

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-14 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Alex’s Pick Under: 234.5 -110

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