NBA- Total

Boston Celtics (14-4) vs Sacramento Kings (10-7)

Friday, November 25, 2022 at 8:00 pm

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My own projections estimate a combined score of 230 . Thus we have value with taking the under in this public centric  Totals offering. 

Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

SACRAMENTO is 27-12 UNDER  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 UNDER  off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg . 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 42-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

NBA team (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 127-72 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.

Play on the UNDER

Alex’s Pick Under: 238 -111

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