NBA- Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers

Premium Pick Win

Utah Jazz (12-11) vs Los Angeles Clippers (12-9)

Wednesday, November 30, 2022 at 9:00 pm

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My owns projections estimate a combined score of 227 plus points , which gives us value on this offering .Utah averages  116.7 (4th of 30) while allowing  115.5 (22nd of 30).  Meanwhile, the Clippers are essentially on the other side of the spectrum offensively and defensively, but as they showed us last night are reving up offensively and off a 118 output while allowing 112 points in a victory vs the Blazers. On tired legs tonight the Clippers in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City wont have the energy needed to play strong D, and this Im betting helps this combined score eclipse this offering. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better  of their shots are 31-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 22-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Utah.

Play OVER 

Alex’s Pick Over: 224.5 -115

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