NBA- Thursday night total

Premium Pick Win

Detroit Pistons (5-18) vs Dallas Mavericks (10-10)

Thursday, December 01, 2022 at 7:00 pm

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With top player Cade Cunningham sidelined  due to a shin injury, the Pistons are finding it difficult to stay competitive, and tonight the Mavericks knowing how vulnerable their opponents are will be very aggressive especially on offense. This Im betting leads to a fairly wide open affair, that easily eclipses this total. Note: Detroit ranks 29th in the league in ppg allowed defense and 29th in defensive efficiency. 

Over is 12-5 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

DETROIT is 13-4 OVER  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. Over is 8-3-1 in Pistons last 12 home games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 130 points or more are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average score of 234.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG).are 72-34 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 230.4 ppg.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play over

Alex’s Pick Over: 221.5 -110

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