Sacramento Kings (34-25) vs Chicago Bulls (28-32)
Monday, March 04, 2024 at 10:00 pm
My projections estimate a combined score in the low 230s giving us at least a 2 possession edge.
The Bulls are 8-0-1 L9 vs Pacific Division opposition and are 11-3 OVER L14 non-conf road games..T he total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road.
Sacramento ranks 22nd in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 8th in ppg scored.
SACRAMENTO is 8-0 OVER against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 252.1 ppg scored.
SACRAMENTO is 12-4 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season.
SACRAMENTO is 16-6 OVER as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 243.4 ppg scored.
Sacramento is 10-0 OVER as favs 4 or more pts playing with 2 days rest and 12-2 OVER L14 non-conference home tilts.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 176-108 OVER L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games are 310-124 OVER L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate.
Play over
Alex’s Pick Over: 227.5 -110
AUTHOR: Alex Smart
