NBA- Total- Sacramento vs Chicago

Sacramento Kings (34-25) vs Chicago Bulls (28-32)

Monday, March 04, 2024 at 10:00 pm

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My projections estimate a combined score in the low 230s giving us at least a 2 possession edge. 

The Bulls are 8-0-1 L9 vs Pacific Division opposition  and are 11-3 OVER  L14 non-conf road games..T he total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road.

Sacramento ranks 22nd in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 8th in ppg scored.

SACRAMENTO is 8-0 OVER against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 252.1 ppg scored. 

SACRAMENTO is 12-4 OVER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  this season.

SACRAMENTO is 16-6 OVER  as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 243.4 ppg scored.

Sacramento is  10-0 OVER as favs 4  or more  pts  playing with  2 days rest and  12-2 OVER L14 non-conference home tilts. 

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 176-108 OVER L/27 seasons  for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games are 310-124 OVER L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate.

Play over

Alex’s Pick Over: 227.5 -110

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