Boston Celtics (79-21) vs Dallas Mavericks (63-40)

Monday, June 17, 2024 at 8:30 pm

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I have not had a great read on this NBA Finals series, but I do believe the Celtics will be primed to wrap this up here at home tonight. Also after the  Mavericks came out to avoid the sweep with in an all out take no prisoners  effort that saw  them explode offensively recording a massive 128.4 Offensive Rating, Im now betting on regression in a big way. Note:The Celtics have not lost consecutive games during this postseason and have not lost consecutive games since early April . Note:Boston has won all three of its games in this series by at least seven points and a rinse and repeat situation is now on board. 

DALLAS is 0-8 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 10-1 ATS  in home games against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 8-0 ATS  after scoring 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points, off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favoriteS  are 24-5 ATS L/28 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston to cover

Alex’s Pick Boston Celtics: -6.5 -112

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