NBA-Total

Premium Pick Win

Dallas Mavericks (3-2) vs Orlando Magic (3-3)

Sunday, November 03, 2024 at 7:30 pm

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Without star forward Paolo Banchero the Mavs are going to have problems being cohesive.  The Magics offensive efficiency and points per 100 possessions sinks  precipitously  without Banchero in the lineup. Im betting the Magic will plan on  slowing this game down, and play tough D, because of the considerable offensive deficiencies they must now cope with . On the flip-side, the Mavs play a concise type of hoops behind Doncic and use the pick and roll as key mode of shot decision making, which will take time off the clock. Dallas current ranks 7th in ppg allowed and 22nd in league ppg offensive production behind the 25th ranked pace. Orlando ranks 10th in ppg defense, and 19th in ppg offense, and 13th in pace.

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+21.00 Units / 23% ROI)The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 87 games (-29.95 Units / -30% ROI)

Dallas games when the total is 210 to 219.5 are 14-1 under with a combined average of 201.8 ppg scored dating back to last season and are  7-0 L/7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5.

NBA Favorites like the Mavs- off a upset loss as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games have seen a combined score of 204.5 ppg games (spanning a 150 game samples size dating back to the 1997 season.

Play under 

Alex’s Pick Under: 219.5 -110

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