NBA Best Bet Total

Premium Pick Loss

San Antonio Spurs (4-5) vs Utah Jazz (1-7)

Saturday, November 09, 2024 at 5:00 pm

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These teams offense numbers do not impress. However, Im betting on a fairly high scoring game here today. Utah  with Lauri Markkanen back from his back injury, the Jazz should start to show positive offensive regression and already move the ball at a high pace ranking 6th in the NBA. The Jazz conversion rate along with their fast paced offense will adhere to higher scoring production.  Also the the Spurs will according to my projections easily eclipse their average offensive output vs a Jazz side that ranks 26th in the NBA in defense ppg. NBA  Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 89-44 over since the 1997 season with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 231.4 ppg.Utah away or neutral games after a game committing 10+ more turnovers than opponents have gone over 6 straight times with a combined average of 248.3 ppg scored.Utah games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) have gone over 8 of the L/9 times with a combined average of 246.6 ppg scored.these teams have gone over the total in their L/3 meetings here in San Antonio.

Play over

Alex’s Pick Over: 222 -108

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