Ron's Saturday College Football Blowout Winner
West Virginia Mountaineers (5-3) vs BYU Cougars (5-3)
Saturday, November 04, 2023 at 7:00 pm
To me, this is a huge mismatch. BYU put up a fight vs. Texas but that was with a backup QB starting in Murphy. Texas still won the game in blowout fashion and covered the number for us, and I am going back to the well in fading BYU again. BYU has a solid W/L record but when you look at the numbers, they aren't pretty. I firmly believe BYU was one of the luckier teams in Power 5 football to start the season and that luck is starting to run out. Despite this, we are still getting good value betting against the Cougars in a spot like this. WVU has a huge home field advantage and is playing its best football of the year by far. WVU's offense is exploding after a sluggish start to the year. WVU's run game is going to be tough for BYU to stop and even Greene in the passing game has been decent in recent weeks. WVU has the superior secondary and run defense here. BYU has not been able to get the run game going at all this season, averaging less than 100 rushing yards per game and only 2.9 YPC. Slovis is a decent QB and BYU's pass protection has been solid but he is still only hitting 57% of his passes and has to face one of the better secondaries in the conference on the road. This is a brutal matchup for BYU in my opinion and I see another blowout here. Give me WVU.