Ron's Monday College Basketball Barking Dawg

Ole Miss Rebels (9-9) vs Florida Gators (12-6)

Monday, January 24, 2022 at 7:00 pm

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We have bet on the Gators four times this season and bet against them three times, owning a 5-2 in Gator games this season. Now, we are fading Florida after its first two wins without Colin Castleton. I give credit to the team and Mike White for putting together a couple of wins without their big man, but Castleton is too much to replace going forward and this Gators' offense does not look good at all. The defense has been able to keep Florida afloat for now, but here we have the first road game for Florida without Castleton and Ole Miss is the perfect team to fly under the radar for an upset cover or even outright win. Ole Miss has struggled in conference play, but this was a team that had a strong halftime lead over Auburn and already upset Mississippi State earlier in SEC play, so I do not put it past the Rebels to compete in this game. The loss of Jarkel Joiner hurts, but this team was not going to beat Florida with size anyway. I think the Ole Miss backcourt is in a far better position than Florida's and I think Nysier Brooks has the size down low to keep Florida's remaining bigs, Jitoboh and Duruji, honest. Ole Miss defends the three very well, forces a good amount of turnovers, and is decent on the defensive glass, which is all very important in what should be a low-scoring game. We are going to want the points in our pocket in this one, so I will take Ole Miss as the home dog. 

Ron’s Pick Ole Miss Rebels: +4.5 -110

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