Ron's Rundown Thursday MLB Best Bet

Premium Pick Win

Philadelphia Phillies (39-36) vs Atlanta Braves (43-32)

Thursday, June 30, 2022 at 6:05 pm

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The Philadelphia Phillies ML is my MLB Best Bet for Thursday, June 30th. We only have eight games on the board for Thursday so overall, I am treading lightly, but this is my favorite play on the board as I think this is a clear mismatch in the starting pitching matchup. Aaron Nola owns a 2.98 ERA but an even better 2.82 FIP and 2.88 xFIP. Nola gives the Phillies their best chance to win a game in this series and even though the lineup is clearly missing Harper, I think facing Ian Anderson should help the Phillies' struggles at the dish. Anderson is not earning strikeouts at a great rate, is walking far too many batters, and has had issues at times with the home run ball. Anderson is currently in the 1st percentile in fastball and curveball spin, making his pitches easy to read and hit. Anderson has issues getting behind in the count, which gives a big advantage to hitters. Anderson really struggled last time out and I don't think it gets any easier here. I like the Phillies to win this game at home. Good luck everyone and thank you for your support! 

Ron’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies: -140

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