Pittsburgh Pirates (30-45) vs Milwaukee Brewers (44-33)
Friday, July 01, 2022 at 7:05 pm
I like Milwaukee -1.5 here. We are getting the far better starter in Burnes and the better lineup/bullpen to go with it. Burnes has a great strikeout rate and the Pirates are one of the worst teams in the league in K % as a team vs. RHP and LHP. Roansy Contreras has a ton of regression in his game to worry about as he is in the bottom 15th percentile in average exit velo, hard-hit% and barrel %. Contreras owns a 2.76 ERA but a 4.99 xERA and a 4.26 xFIP. Contreras faces a Brewers lineup that can make him pay as they are one of the strongest lineups in baseball in terms of isolated power vs. RHP. I think the Brew Crew gets revenge on Friday, I will lay the 1.5 with the road team. Good luck everyone and thank you for your support! Let's make this a July to remember in the MLB!