San Francisco Giants (40-35) vs Chicago White Sox (36-39)
Saturday, July 02, 2022 at 4:05 pm
I think the value is on the underdog here. Cease has been the sharper starter this season and his ability to miss bats paired with the fact that the Giants have the fourth-highest K % as a team vs. RHP in the last 30 days should help his chances here. Both teams are outside the top-15 in wRC+ vs. RHP in the last 30 days but Logan Webb has a bit more room for regression in his game, especially with his lack of strikeouts, and he is facing a White Sox team that limits strikeouts themselves against RHP. We saw a close game last night but the White Sox bullpen prevailed and I could something similar here. The Giants' bullpen is holding them back this season and with San Fran using four arms out of the pen, including some of their top guys in Doval, Leone, and Brebbia, I do not like the makeup of this Giants' pen on Saturday night. Give me the White Sox on the ML getting the great price.