Ron's Saturday MLB Value Play

Baltimore Orioles (25-12) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (18-21)

Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:05 pm

Click Here for the Latest Odds

The price we are getting with Arizona is too good to pass up here. Means was excellent in his season debut but he was horrific in his rehab starts and his season debut was vs. Cincinnati, the team ranked near or right at dead last in the league vs. LHP in a lot of important hitting metrics in the last few weeks. The Dbacks are a great lineup vs. lefties and while they did not do too much damage vs. Irvin, we still saw them have plenty of chances in that game with 8 men left on base and 7 at-bats with RISP. Nelson has pitched better on the road in his career and I like the fact that his chase rate is high, as the O's also have a high chase rate offensively and that may lead to weak contact. Nelson does a good job at limiting free passes and I think if he can put together 5-6 decent innings of four-run ball or less, the Dbacks will have a shot in the end. Arizona has most of its best arms available out of the bullpen and I think the price is right here. Give me Dbacks ML.

Ron’s Pick Arizona Diamondbacks: +145

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 |

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.