Ron's Friday MLB Run Line Winner

Premium Pick Win

Kansas City Royals (70-56) vs Philadelphia Phillies (73-52)

Friday, August 23, 2024 at 8:10 pm

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I think it is rather telling that the Royals are giant favorites over the Phillies. Philadelphia is going through it right now and the offense has been miserable as of late, especially against RHP. Wacha is in outstanding form, giving up two earned or fewer in four straight and the Royals have won eight of his last nine starts. Five of those eight were run-line wins as a favorite as well, and I think the value lies with KC -1.5 here. The Royals have been a great home team and a great home offense. KC gets to face a struggling starter in Taijuan Walker who has given up a lot of sharp contact as of late and the Phillies have dropped his last seven starts and eight of his last nine. I think the Phillies have the better bullpen on paper, but in the last 30 days KC has the better bullpen xFIP and ERA. Give me Royals -1.5. 

Ron’s Pick Kansas City Royals: -1.5 +145

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