Miami Marlins (46-81) vs Chicago Cubs (63-65)
Saturday, August 24, 2024 at 4:10 pm
The Cubs are overpriced here because of Shota Imanaga, and while he has had a great campaign, lately he has not been as dominant. The biggest issue I see in Imanaga's game in August is the sharp contact and homers, as he has conceded six bombs already in 23.2 innings in the month. The Marlins have improved quite a bit against lefties over the past 30 days and the Fish rank 6th in MLB in ISO vs. LHP. Bellozo has regression concerns but has been sturdy for Miami as of late. The Marlins have won his last three starts, his xERA is still sub-4.00, and the Cubs are nothing special vs. RHP offensively. The Marlins' pen is still up there in terms of the best xFIPs in the last month, and I think the value firmly lies with the Marlins here. Give me Miami ML.