Ron's NFL Sunday Play #2

Premium Pick Loss

New England Patriots (2-3) vs Dallas Cowboys (4-1)

Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 4:25 pm

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The public is completely overlooking Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots at home on Sunday, giving us some value with the Pats. New England has not been a flashy team like the Cowboys, but the NE defense is still one of the best in the league and the numbers show that. The Pats are only allowing 18 points per game and only 317 total yards per game, ranking the Patriots' defense 5th in the league in both categories. The Patriots' offense has struggled to run the ball, but Mac Jones is quietly having a very solid season. Jones has completed over 71% of his passes, which bodes very well against a Cowboys' secondary that has allowed 311 passing yards per game. The Cowboys' defense has been very turnover reliant, which is not very sustainable. If and when the Cowboys are not able to force turnovers at the rate they currently are, an already below-average defense is going to put up a lot worse numbers. The Patriots have the team and the home-field advantage to keep this game close and force the first ATS loss of the season to the Cowboys on Sunday afternoon. 

Ron’s Pick New England Patriots: +3.5 -110

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