Cleveland Browns (1-1) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1)
Thursday, September 22, 2022 at 8:15 pm
This line may look steep to some but I think it goes to show how the Steelers are in rough shape, especially without T.J. Watt in the lineup. The Browns are the type of team the Steelers do not want to face right now as Cleveland relies on its strong ground game and great offensive line, while the Steelers have not been great against opposing rush attacks. Last season the Steelers could not stop the run much at all even with Watt in the lineup and their chances are not any better now. The Browns were under 2 minutes away from being 2-0 for the first time since the 90s, but a disappointing collapse in the final moments handed NYJ the upset victory. I think we not only see a more motivated Cleveland team here that will not take its foot off the peddle until the clock reads 0:00, but also a Browns team looking for revenge over their bitter division rivals. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are more than a handful for opposing defenses, especially those that are not designed to stop the run. Jacoby Brissett is not my favorite QB option in the world, but he can make the situational throws for Cleveland's offense to move the sticks offense. I expect a lower-scoring game but with how poorly the Steelers' offense has struggled, matched with the fact that the Browns' defense is still above average in my opinion, I don't think the Steelers can compete here on the road. Give the Browns -4.5 here. I am seeing a lot of public action on PIT, so it may be best to wait and see if you can get an even better number if the line moves with that action. Nonetheless, I like Cleveland by a touchdown.