San Antonio Spurs (8-7) vs Dallas Mavericks (7-7)
Friday, January 22, 2021 at 8:30 pm
Southwest Division Total of the Year
Team off a very high scoring game goes over again at 114-47-4 for 70.8 percent. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1201-865-65.
The Spurs have gone under 9-6 by -5.7 points per game. Dallas is the No. 3 under team in the NBA based on margin, going under 10-4 by -8.7. Of course, squares will see this and rush to the under. Not so fast. This fits into a regression/overreaction angle that says two cumulative under teams go over 776-569-25.