Fargo's MLB Friday Underdog Double Play (SWEEP)

Cleveland Guardians (38-34) vs New York Yankees (56-20)

Friday, July 01, 2022 at 7:10 pm

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This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Friday Underdog Double Play. This is a contrarian play on Cleveland based on the starting pitching matchup but it has been playing well and can take one with this big number. The Guardians took three of five against Minnesota and have closed the gap in the American League Central to one game behind the Twins. Cleveland is 19-15 at home and it is 20-10 over its last 30 games despite a five-game losing streak thrown in there. Aaron Civale got off to an awful start with a 9.85 ERA through his first seven starts but has settled down with a 2.94 ERA over his last three outings and his home ERA is over five runs less than it is on the road. Cleveland is 18-8 against the money line against starting pitchers that walk 1.75 or fewer per start this season. We went against the Yankees on Thursday and as stated, what can you say about New York other than it has been one of the best all-around teams in recent years through this many games. They are 10-6 on the road against teams with a winning record which is certainly good but have lost money in the process and are very heavy favorites here. Gerit Cole gets the start and he has been very solid after getting roughed up against the Twins four starts back and is favored more now . The Yankees are 4-10 against the money line against American League starting pitchers whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last two seasons. Here, we play against road favorites with a money line of -175 or more that are batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 27-19 (58.7 percent) over the last five seasons with an ROI of over 31 percent. 10* (916) Cleveland Guardians

Matt’s Pick Cleveland Guardians: +190

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