Houston Astros (116-58) vs Philadelphia Phillies (98-80)
Saturday, November 05, 2022 at 8:03 pm
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Game of the Month. Houston was able to regain home field advantage by taking the two final games in Philadelphia and while it has what seems to be a big edge needing to take just one of two games at home but the Astros know well that is not so easy after losing the final two games of the 2019 World Series at home against Washington. The Astros came into the World Series on a nine-game winning streak including six straight home wins but showed their vulnerability in Game One and have another challenge against the Phillies bats that are ready to wake up even though the pitching for Houston looks unbeatable in this matchup. Framber Valdez had a fantastic season and has been great in the postseason but he does possess opposite home/road splits and while not expecting a blowup, it only takes a few with Houston going up against the Phillies ace. While the Phillies had the momentum after their Game Three 7-0 win where they smacked five home runs, it showed momentum does not mean a whole lot in the fall classic as they succumbed to a Game Four no-hitter and a heart-breaking loss in Game Five. Philadelphia is 5-3 on the road in the postseason so there is no fear of playing on the road. Zack Wheeler looks to put forth a better effort in Game Six after he allowed five runs, four earned, on six hits in just five innings in Game Two. He blamed it on arm fatigue but says he is better and the better news is that he tossed only 69 pitches and in his last four starts since mid-September after coming off a game throwing than fewer 80 pitches, he posted a 0.37 ERA over 24.1 innings so that last start could actually be a blessing. Here, we play on underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 batting .200 or worse over their last three games, with a bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games. this situation is 61-49 (55.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (961) Philadelphia Phillies