Fargo's MLB Underdog Dominator (64% Run)

LA Dodgers (29-16) vs Cincinnati Reds (18-25)

Friday, May 17, 2024 at 10:10 pm

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Underdog Dominator. The Dodgers have lost two straight games including the series opener last night as massive favorites and many will expect a bounce back but this number is too big where they are at a disadvantage at starting pitcher. The Reds are off to a bad start at 19-25 which was from a 2-12 run to open May. The pitching has picked it up, allowing two runs in three straight games. James Paxton goes for the Dodgers and he is vastly overrated. He has a 2.58 ERA but a 5.89 xERA and a 5.60 xFIP and he is one of only two pitchers with a higher xERA minus ERA. His velocity is down big time from last season and he has issued more walks than he has strikeouts, 24 to 22. Frankie Montas was exceptional in Oakland and his short time with the Yankees after that did not work out and he has been effective thus far for the Reds. He has had one bad start at Seattle and take that away, his ERA drops from 4.20 to 2.89 in his other six starts. 10* (909) Cincinnati Reds

Matt’s Pick Cincinnati Reds: +185

AUTHOR: Matt Fargo

Matt is one of the most respected and consistent handicappers since 2000 and his thorough analysis has earned him a devoted following. He is considered a situational handicapper above anything and a contrarian at heart, a great edge to beat the books

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